New Memo of Understanding Between the U.S. Department of the Interior and the Department of the Commerce on Climate Change Science
http://www.noaa.gov/climateresources/resources/doidocclimatemoufinal.pdf
The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Releases the 2009 State of the Climate Report
The 2009 State of the Climate Report is a comprehensive appraisal of Earth’s climate by more than 300 authors from 48 countries and portrays all aspects of the climate system. Observations span the atmosphere, land, and ocean from the poles to the equator, and confirm that the past decade was the warmest on record and that the Earth has been growing warmer over the last 50 years. The report, summary, and supplemental materials are available at: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-the-climate/2009.php
EPA Rejects Claims of Flawed Climate Science
EPA denied 10 petitions challenging its 2009 determination that climate change is real, is occurring due to emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities, and threatens human health and the environment. The petitions to reconsider EPA’s Endangerment Finding claim that climate science cannot be trusted, and assert a conspiracy that invalidates the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, and the U.S. Global Change Research Program. After months of serious consideration of the petitions and of the state of climate change science, EPA finds no evidence to support these claims. In contrast, EPA’s review shows that climate science is credible, compelling, and growing stronger. Additional information is available at: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/endangerment/downloads/endangerment-factsheet.pdf
U.S. EPA Proposes New Rules Related To Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Permitting Requirements
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing two rules to ensure that businesses planning to build new, large facilities or make major expansions to existing ones will be able to obtain Clean Air Act permits that address their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
http://www.eenews.net/assets/2010/08/12/document_pm_01.pdf
Rising Seas, Coastal Erosion, and the Takings Clause: How To Save Wetlands and Beaches Without Hurting Property Owners
Interesting perspective on coastal lands in Maryland.
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/effects/downloads/takings.pdf
Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) Issues Report Linking Climate Change to Future Water Shortages
Climate change will have a significant impact on the sustainability of water supplies in the coming decades. A new analysis examined the effects of global warming on water supply and demand in the contiguous United States. The study found that more than 1,100 counties (one-third of all counties in the lower 48) will face higher risks of water shortages by mid-century as the result of global warming. More than 400 of these counties will face extremely high risks of water shortages. Additional information is available at: http://www.nrdc.org/globalwarming/watersustainability/
America’s Climate Choices Report Calls for Better Information Systems and Communications to Guide U.S. Response to Climate Change
Informing an Effective Response to Climate Change, a volume in the America’s Climate Choices series, describes and assesses different activities, products, strategies, and tools for informing decision makers about climate change and helping them plan and execute effective, integrated responses. It discusses who is making decisions (on the local, state, and national levels), who should be providing information to make decisions, and how that information should be provided. It covers all levels of decision making, including international, state, and individual decision making. While most existing research has focused on the physical aspect of climate change, Informing an Effective Response to Climate Change employs theory and case study to describe the efforts undertaken so far, and to guide the development of future decision-making resources.
For additional information, visit: http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12784
STELLA Dynamic Modeling Workshops
Event Type: Workshop
When: July 12-14, 2010 & October 4-6, 2010
Where: Albany, NY
Many readers asked me if they could find out more information about the modeling software used in this post: Modeling Water Resources for Miami-Dade. The company who makes this software is having two upcoming introductory workshops that would be a good entry place to begin if you are interested in becoming more familiar with it.
“Introduction to Dynamic Modeling with STELLA and iThink”
Colorado Springs, CO — July 12-14, 2010
Don’t miss the last chance in 2010 to participate in our popular introductory workshop. Whether you are new to Systems Thinking or it’s been a while since you’ve used the STELLA or iThink software, this two and a half day workshop provides the most efficient way to come up to speed with the dynamic modeling approach. We’ll draw upon years of real-world experience to help build your skills and facilitate modeling an issue of your own choosing.
2010 isee User Conference — “Making Connections”
Providence, RI — October 4-6, 2010
Build new skills, meet experts in the field and share your experiences at the 2010 isee User Conference. The two and a half days will be filled with keynote addresses by Systems Thinking leaders, iThink and STELLA application stories and case studies, field-specific round tables, hands-on workshops, poster sessions, and time for networking and open discussion.
RUST- The Radical Urban Sustainability Training
Event Type: Workshop
When: Runs from July 10-11, 2010
Where: Albany, NY
The course will be taught by Scott Kellogg, author of “Toolbox for Sustainable City Living” and Lauren Ross, and will take place at the Albany Free School in Albany, New York.
All the course information, including content and registration details.
About R.U.S.T
RUST – The Radical Urban Sustainability Training - is an intensive weekend workshop of skills for building ecologically resilient communities in today’s cities. In this class, sustainability experts Scott Kellogg and Lauren Ross gives attendees a “toolbox” of techniques and knowledge usable by anyone wanting to create sustainable systems in their own communities. Through a combination of group hands-on activities and lectures, participants will learn how to build infrastructure for self-reliance by utilizing salvaged and recycled materials. These systems can be applied in either urban or rural environments, and in many cases can be put to use in even an apartment spaces.
Special emphasis in the class is put on the interrelatedness of sustainability and struggles for social justice. The many innovative sustainability features on display in the Albany Free School neighborhood will be used as teaching tools.
Typical topics & hands-on demos
- Low-tech bioremediation (cleaning contaminated soils using plants, fungi and bacteria)
- Rainwater harvesting
- Aquaculture: ponds, plants, fish, algae
- Constructed wetlands/greywater
- Autonomous technologies:wind turbines & passive solar
- Worm composting and soldier flies
- Raised bed gardening and soil alchemy
- City chickens and micro-livestock
- Struggles for land and gentrification
- Brownfield restoration
- Biofuels: methane digesters, wood gas and veggie oil vehicles
- Mycoscaping:edible and medicinal mushroom cultivation
- Energy depletion and climate justice
- Sustainable and efficient wood burning
If you have any questions, please email sk@radixcenter.org
I attended this workshop last year and it was one of the most informative and inventive workshops I’ve ever attended. Well worth the investment and if you’re not in the Albany area you can go to one of the other RUST workshops they have in other parts of the country or go visit their base in Austin, TX. We got practical hands on demo and lots of instructions on how to do everything from bio-remediation (which they were doing in New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina) to processing your own greywater to aquaculture. They also served delicious vegetarian meals throughout the day creating a nice time to sit down with other attendees and network and discuss ideas from different sessions. I can’t speak highly enough about how great the Rhizome Collective in general is and how many wonderful ideas come out of their organization around urban homesteading and creating low cost, high efficiency, sustainable solutions to lessening our footprint.
Summer has arrived.
And I’ve returned back to the Outer Cape leaving the land of mangroves and manta rays. I’ve sojourned North for the summer months to study and enjoy the Cape Cod beaches and think about climate change in a different context.
What I love about the Cape is that in living on this narrow spit of land, the natural world is incredibly dynamic and always changing and acceptance of those changes is part of the way of life. Just this winter we received a very bad storm that hit Ballston Beach, carving away another massive section of the dune. This photo of the beach below is a relic showing more sand at the end of the path than we will ever see again because the beaches are not artificially fed with sand when within the National Seashore.
Ballston beach is really good for studying erosion. It’s also a great place to surf.
And cool off after a day of toiling as an organic farmer. And to ensure that I don’t miss those changes that are actually happening at Ballston and all across the Cape, I’m trading the coffee shops where I blog from for the estuaries, marshes, salt flats, harbors, and beaches of the Cape. So for those reasons I am taking a hiatus from the blogosphere for the summer and will be farming, climbing dunes, observing tidal changes, clam digging, fishing, biking, and making maps. I may be posting infrequently throughout the summer but you can look forward to a great summer summary of how Cape Cod will be experiencing climate change in the fall.
Thanks again to all the readers who follow my blog and for your supportive, engaged comments.
EPA Webcast: Implementing Green Roofs at the Local Level
Event Type: Webcast
When: June 8, 2010, 2:00 – 4:00 pm, EDT

EPA’s Green Roofs webcast will be hosted by EPA’s Heat Island Reduction Program and EPA’s Local Climate and Energy Program. This webcast will provide an overview of how green roofs can reduce the urban heat island effect and improve building energy use while achieving additional multiple benefits within the urban environment. Local governments and other community-oriented institutions c
an learn about how others have effectively implemented and maintained green roof projects in their communities.
Interested in Green Roofs and the Urban Heat Island Effect?
For more information, including background materials

Select any category to see the skeptic argument, a summary of what the science says and the full answer including graphs plus links to papers or other sources.
What do you do when your at a BBQ this summer and the conversation begins to heat up that climate change is not a reality?
You can pull out your smartphone and use a handful of climate change apps that concisely presents compelling climate change information:
Skeptical Science: Getting Skeptical About Global Warming Skepticism
Using your iPhone or iPad you can view the entire list of skeptic arguments as well as readily access what the science says on each argument. The app lets you browse arguments via the Top 10 most used arguments as well as 3 main categories (“It’s not happening”, “It’s not us”, “It’s not bad”).
ClimateCounts
Climate Counts is a collaborative effort to bring consumers and companies together in the fight against global climate change. They score the world’s largest companies on their climate impact to spur corporate climate responsibility and conscious consumption. Their goal is to motivate deeper awareness among consumers — that the issue of climate change demands their attention, and that they have the power to support companies that take climate change seriously and avoid those that don’t.
You can use the app to easily see how your favorite companies rank in their climate awareness and see how they score against other companies based on what they are doing to:
- MEASURE climate impact
- REDUCE climate impact
- SUPPORT government action
- DISCLOSE climate action openly

United Nations Framework Climate Change Conference
This application provides quick and easy access to essential information about the UN Climate Change Talks taking place this year. View the latest youtube videos and photos from the conference, read the latest documents, agendas and meetings information, join the Talks via the Facebook and Twitter channels, get logistical information.
This app is also great for seeing news updates and getting access to newly released documents and reports.

1Sky
Use this app to take action against global warming. The 1Sky campaign is helping to build a nation-wide movement to make Congress pass laws that tackle climate change and build a clean energy economy. Keep up with the latest climate news on their blog, find out how to take action, where to attend events, watch videos and follow their Twitter feed.
In Wired Magazine this month there was an excellent article “Appeal to the Heart: Climate Change is real. Evolution is true. And science needs to up its PR game”. The article was essentially saying that up until this point the climate change message being broadcasted to the public has been “Here are our findings. Read it and believe” rather than getting the message across using a more savvy marketing approach.
Blogger Anil Dash from Expert Labs contributed by saying: “They feel the facts should speak for themselves. They’re not wrong; they’re just not realistic.” The article went on to make the point that climate scientists know people don’t believe them; they just haven’t responded well. Kelly Bush, CEO of ID, a PR marketing firm suggested that researchers need a campaign that inundates the public with the climate science message using celebrity ambassadors and spokespeople. We need better ways to frame the information in a way that connects with people directly and helps them understand how it will directly affect their own lives and what actions they can take from small day to day choices to big decisions.
Clever smartphone apps like the ones listed above help contribute to this challenge of getting the information out there in an easy way that leads to a proactive response from the user. It’s a step in the right direction of marketing our climate reality in a lighthearted way that takes advantage of the latest technology for disseminating information. So keep the apps coming and try a couple of these out in the meantime and have fun stumping that boisterous global warming denier.
With media coverage consistent on the oil spill for over a month now there have been many suggestions of what to do to stop the flow of oil. To date nothing that has been considered by BP has worked and it seems like the ideas are getting more outlandish and improbable. This week we’re seeing just the latest failed plan to pump a mix of mud and rocks into the base at the blowout preventer. All that has come of this plan has been oil mixed with mud coming out of the pipes with no blockage taking hold.


As we’ve seen, the oil is moving out into the gulf stream, which will have consequences for the Eastern seaboard and potentially for adjacent coastlines as it’s difficult to predict what the full impact of the spill will be. I couldn’t help but feel like I was following the spill as I drove up from Miami to Cape Cod for the summer, passing Cape Hadderas, where the expect the oil to reach. As Discovery explains:
The red arrows indicate the flow of the Gulf Stream, running from Florida up the Eastern Coast of the United States.
Many ocean scientists are now raising concerns that a powerful current could spread the still-bubbling slick from the Florida Keys all the way to Cape Hatteras off North Carolina. These oceanographers are carefully watching the Gulf Loop Current, a clockwise swirl of warm water that sets up in the Gulf of Mexico each spring and summer. If the spill meets the loop — the disaster becomes a runaway.
“It could make it from Louisiana all the way to Miami in a week, maybe less.” said Eric Chassignet, director of the Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies at Florida State University. “It is pretty fast.”
Right now, some computer models show the spill 30 to 50 miles north of the loop current. If the onshore winds turn around and push the oil further south: “That would be a nightmare,” said Yonggang Liu, research associate at the University of South Florida who models the current. “Hopefully we are lucky, but who knows. The winds are changing and difficult to predict.”
Imagine the loop current as an ocean-going highway, transporting tiny plankton, fish and other marine life along a watery conveyor belt. Sometimes it even picks up a slug of freshwater from the Mississippi River — sending it on a wandering journey up to North Carolina.
The Gulf Loop Current acts like a jet of warm water that squirts in from the Caribbean basin and sloshes around the Gulf of Mexico before being squeezed out the Florida Strait, where it joins the larger and more powerful Gulf Stream current.
Friends down in the Florida Keys have been sightings tar balls washing ashore even though the press is not acknowledging that it has hit this area yet. The tar balls are getting “fingerprinted” to be able to tell if they can be linked to Deepwater Horizon or a different oil source.
What I think is one of the most unfortunate aspects of the whole spill is the lack of transparency throughout the process without reaching out to engage the public to come up with clever solutions that do not pander to the economic decision drivers of the oil industry. They are not tapping into the creative and abundant realm of scientists, engineers and just astute people to be able to participate in its resolution and have worked against that happening by not releasing the essential type of information that would help bring about these good ideas:
BP has never publicly released geological cross-sections of the seabed and underlying rock. BP’s Initial Exploration Plan refers to “structure contour maps” and “geological cross sections”, but such drawings and information are designated “proprietary information” and have been kept under wraps.
The government must publicly release details of the geology under the spill site. Until it does so, people will not have be understand what is going on. And failing to release such information may prevent creative scientists from around the world from coming up with a workable solution.
SOURCE: George Washington from The Big Picture: Why Is It So Hard to Stop the Oil Gusher, and Why Was Such Extreme Deepwater Drilling Allowed in the First Place?
As things continue to escalate with no clear end in sight yet, I have a suggestion that is plain and simple.
Here’s the Idea
The pipe is only 20 inches in diameter so it’s like a hypodermic needle going from the reserve of oil through the ocean floor. The plan would be to merely sever the connection and cease the flow of oil.
This is not being considered however because the type of solutions that BP is willing to entertain require that the pipe not be damaged in such a way that it would render it ultimately unusable. That’s why plans have consisted of trying to contain the oil like through the use of a concrete cap or drilling a relief well, which is expected to take months to drill and at least 4 tries to accurately penetrate the pipe because to drill right to the pipe would effectively be like hitting a needle in a haystack. The drilling of a relief well is a proposterous idea that shows the backwards, profit driven thinking of BP to allow the oil to continue to gush while working on finding a new way to tap it instead of block it in an expedient matter.
What should be done is the pipe should be shut down with explosives, effectively breaking the needle. The pipe should be compromised by using the ROVs that are presently down there, to snake explosives down to severely rupture the pipe. The oil released from the explosion would be stopped by the surrounding earth, which is essentially made up of the same type of composite that contains the reserve of oil naturally. Any additional oil will stop flowing and will be contained below the surface. The major problem with this would be figuring out how to get explosives down there since the oil is flowing at over 2,000 PSI. To give a reference point, a mountain bike tire is pumped up to about 40 PSI.
Comparable ideas have been to use a nuclear explosion to stop the flow but this would be a much more direct way and would have an extreme ecological and environmental impact.
The reason that an option such as this one is not being considered by BP right now is because they would like to continue drilling using this pipe. All of these weeks could have been avoided if they had responded along this line of thinking but they are more concerned that the investment made to drill the pipe would be lost if this sort of solution was carried out.
Outcome = the oil flow stops and the pipe is not usable for future drilling
Motive of BP = deny the severity of the spill to justify the time it is taking to come up with a solution that allows them to save the pipes so they can continue drilling and profit in the future
What is really unfortunate about the response of BP is that they are not confronting the severity of the impact because their focus is on profits and how to minimize the costs of this problem. Their thinking is how to seal the leak so that they can go back to it later and continue to drill and profit off of it. They’ve gone deeper than anyone else and did not instituted the proper fail safe devices, which you would find at other deep water drilling sites in other parts of the world. With such an outrageous annual profit generated each year it is really troublesome that they did not invest the half a million dollars it would have cost to have installed the proper fail safe system.
The problem however is more systemic than just BP’s part in the equation. As blogger George Washington pointed out this week on the site, Zero Hedge:
It’s not just the one BP oil rig. For example, since the Deepwater Horizon oil drilling rig exploded on April 20th, the Obama administration has granted oil and gas companies at least 27 exemptions from doing in-depth environmental studies of oil exploration and production in the Gulf of Mexico. Then there are the 12 new oil and gas drilling rigs launched in the U.S. this week.
And a whistleblower who survived the Gulf oil explosion claims in a lawsuit that BP’s operations at another oil platform risk another catastrophic accident that could “dwarf” the Gulf oil spill, partly because BP never even reviewed critical engineering designs for the operation.
BP is not standing up to what it is ultimately responsible for and they are actively broadcasting a message that the spill is not as major of an environmental emergency as the scientific community is confirming. We are just beginning to understand what will happen to the Gulf of Mexico and now the Gulf Stream when it has this much oil leaked into it as well as what the impact that these dispersants are going to have. They have been routinely alerted to be endocrine disruptors and are making it difficult for the organisms that process and clean the oil naturally to be able to absorb it from the water, yet they are continuing to be used in large quantities.
But where is the good in all of this?
The oil spill will be a hugely significant event in the 21st century.
We have not even begun to see what the fall out will be from this environmentally, economically, and socially nor what its contribution to the momentum of a larger environmental and climatic imbalance will be. Having this amount of oil in the gulf stream will reach much farther flung shores than we could have imagined weeks ago.
But such an extreme example like this will undoubtedly illustrate to people how dangerous this type of drilling is and where the big oil aligns its priorities. It calls into focus our mass consumption and dependency on oil and to what lengths we will go to extract it. Just like tragic nuclear explosions that happened in the 20th century, which alerted people to the problems with nuclear power without implementing the proper safety measures, the same will happen from this spill. Hopefully what we’ll see is more stringent oversight instituted but also a strong voice from the public that deep water drilling of this nature should be phased out entirely. If we took all the resources that this oil spill will take to resolve, stop and clean up we could really be making some strides in our alternative fuel future and hopefully the tragic nature of this situation will prompt the public to demand more of this.
Village Building Convergence 2010
Event Type: Convergence (Conference, Festival and Neighborhood Improvement Day)
When: May 28th – June 6th 2010
Theme: Intersection – Reclaiming the Crossroads
Where: 2800 SE Harrison St., Portland, OR
Tickets: Available Now!
The Village Building Convergence is a bit like a conference, a bit like a festival, and a bit like a neighborhood improvement day.
Placemaking process
VBC will feature projects located in or adjacent to the public right of way and private projects that support community in various neighborhoods. Private site projects will be structures or systems that are built by and available to the communities concerned with that site, and hopefully available to some extent to the larger community. These will include public squares and meeting houses, community kiosks and benches, solar-powered and artistic innovations, and many other new ideas. Each project is initiated and managed by neighborhood groups with support from the VBC Placemaking Committee. The Placemaking coordinators help neighborhoods facilitate and coordinate the outreach/public involvement process, community decision-making and design workshops, and the permit process with the City.
2010 Theme | Intersection:
Reclaiming the Crossroads
An intersection can be thought of as the the place, physical or metaphorical, where different entities collide with each other, creating beauty that was only hinted at by the individual components. As the common saying goes, the end result is greater than the sum of the parts; however, this is not to diminish the importance of the individual parts. An intersection is a celebration of diversity in which the individual components and the collective manifestation are balanced in a way that honors both. In permaculture terms, an intersection can also be thought of as an edge or a boundary, and it is at these edges that systems thrive in unprecedented ways.
Village Building Design Course
About the course- The Village Building Convergence is a 10-day community placemaking event in Portland Oregon with free workshops and volunteer opportunities in natural building, permaculture design, and public art taking place throughout the city, at the 20-30 sites we have active each year.
The Design Course happens during those same 10 days. With this course, you’ll be well on your way to organizing a VBC in your own home town. They will tie in concepts of empowerment, how that is connected to placemaking, alliance building, and other strategies for maximizing village living in the city. You’ll take a permaculture design approach toward maximizing the use of resources already present in an urban landscape.
One more reason ESRI is the world leader in GIS modeling and mapping software and technology: free, informative, relevant seminars for the cartographic community. I recently attended one of their seminars “Better Ways to Design and Share Maps” and picked up several tips that are too good not to share.
Much of the seminar focused on utilizing existing ESRI services for time saving and more professional looking mapping. I was listening recently to a This American Life episode about mapping and in the first act cartographer Dennis Wood and Ira Glass were talking about the fact that 99% of all the maps made have been made, have been made since the last century and that maps are now so much more publicly accessible than they once were.
This American Life
Consequently the demand for slick, elegant looking maps has increased that take advantage of available digital synergy, like linking maps to Google Maps or having good mobile interfaces for smart phones. As maps become more pervasive and integrated into the average person’s life, there are tools available on the ArcGIS Online Resource site that can help a cartographer make a quicker and more powerful map with tools like automated geocoding; a comprehensive library of global base maps and imagery including topographic, street and shaded relief; sophisticated templates and new ways to share and exchange maps and ideas. When creating maps we have to think about the following three elements:
Map Templates
When I sit down to make a map I start by importing a bunch of layers of data that I’m working with but when these layers come in they are assigned a random color profile. For example the streets might be blue and the bodies of water yellow and I’ll have to go through each layer and change this. Here comes in the ESRI map templates. Simply go to the ESRI Map Templates Resource Center and choose a template that matches what kind of map you’re making.
Making a map of some features on your college campus? Great. Download the Campus Basemap Template and watch all your layers automatically become formatted for an optimal looking map with a couple clicks rather than laboriously doing it step by step. Additionally through ESRI’s Community Maps Program you can contribute and utilize geographic data to become part of a community map that ESRI publishes and hosts online as part of its Community Basemaps.
ESRI Seminar Synopsis: Get the Info
Printed Materials |
Presentation Slides |
Video Demos |
And as if there weren’t enough things to love about what ESRI offers, I wanted to highlight a feature that I have been using heavily in recent weeks to follow the oil spill in the gulf:
Gulf of Mexico Oil Spill Map
Energy Solutions Webinar: Paradox – Crisis in the Midst of Plenty
Event Type: Webinar
When: Thursday, May 20, 2010 12:00 PM – 1:30 PM EDT
There are solutions to our energy crisis.
Join Dr. Deepak Divan, Assistant Director of Georgia Tech’s Strategic Energy Institute for a discussion to hear how we can meet goals for reducing carbon by the year 2030, and do it affordably. The Smart Grid can enable global resource sustainability at an affordable cost. Learn what needs to happen and what the current challenges are.
Affordable, sustainable energy is available, yet the world is experiencing an energy crisis in the midst of plenty. Dr. Divan’s research will be presented and followed by brief comments by Patty Durand, a past State Director of the Georgia Chapter of the Sierra Club who will discuss the findings from an advocate’s point of view. The webinar will conclude with Q&A from the audience.
Reserve your seat for the Webinar HERE.
18th Annual Congress for the New Urbanism
Event Type: Conference
When: May 19th- 22nd
Where: Atlanta, Georgia
The annual Congress for the New Urbanism (CNU) is the leading venue for new urbanist education, collaboration, and networking. CNU members come from around the world to discuss development practices and public policies, learn from recent innovative work, and advance new initiatives to transform our communities.
Program Highlights
- The essential components of New Urbanism are now strategies you simply can’t afford to ignore. Learn proven New Urbanist solutions to a number of relevant issues: — How to survive the housing meltdown — How to adapt to demographic changes — How to deliver major energy savings and slow carbon emissions — What are the growth opportunities under a new administration — How to be ready to meet demand for a projected 50-million-unit increase in new residences by 2030
- Connect and collaborate with innovators — including green designers, architects, builders, developers, city planning officials, transportation design, and community leaders— committed to adapting and incorporating principles of New Urbanism in our cities and towns, as well as abroad.
- Experience excellent traditional urbanism firsthand though local tours of successful neighborhoods in Atlanta and Georgia. See how projects are adapting to new challenges, and how getting the details right is more important than ever.
- Learn about the latest applications of New Urbanism — from LEED for Neighborhood Development to retrofitting suburbs to infill successes.
- Contribute your own ideas and experience to take New Urbanism to the next level.
- Learn about new products and the latest innovations at CNU exhibits.
This year, the Congress has been structured to provide three distinct ways to really dive into the principles of New Urbanism. At the Congress one will have the opportunity to Expand understanding through group conference sessions of varying sizes and format, Explore new urbanist communities in Georgia, and Engage colleagues from a broad range of disciplines in conversations about the future of New Urbanism.
Tours and Urban Labs
Get to know Atlanta and Georgia, and see New Urbanism in practice throughout our host city/region. Urban Labs are offered again this year. The Guided Tours are a great way to discover Atlanta and its surrounding areas. Both the Urban Labs and the Tours are ticketed events and require additional registration.
Guided Tours
CNU 18 offers optional guided tours of Atlanta and nearby Georgia communities renowned for their architecture and urban design.
I recently attended “Managing water resources in a changing environment, the role of climate and other driver”, a workshop presented by researchers from the University of Miami in association with the NOAA Southeast Climate Consortium. This excellent scenario assessment and modeling workshop focused on innovative and practical ways to measure the performance of water management policies under various future scenarios. To do this it presented a model simulation of South Florida’s water resources, which modeled different future climate and socio-economic scenarios. The NOAA Southeast Climate Consortium’s mission is to bring climate science advances into decision making, which typifies what this model is trying to do, albeit in a beta form right now.
The workshop, which was facilitated by Jessica Bolson, began with an overview of the NOAA SARP project and a description of the model that was developed through the project, known as the South Florida Integrated Water and Climate Model (SFSIWCM). The model was an integrated water supply model that focuses on the SFWMD region, representing a basic accounting tool for regional water supply and demand. The objective was to develop a user driven integrated water model that would explore outcomes of future scenarios and do so with a big picture view, so some specificity has been sacrificed.
The South Florida Water Management District is the poster child of complexity because there are so many different considerations and mini-regions within the larger district, making it difficult to cumulatively group it all into one model. This model focused on including uncertain regional drivers of water supply and demand and policy options that alter that demand. Examples of the drivers included were population, agriculture, climate, and water conservation policies.

Model Interface- all of the variables can be controlled by sliders or buttons. Once variables are set to their desired position, the interface can be set to RUN.
The model simulation starts in 1995 and ends in 2035 with monthly time steps.

Model Results- Shows how the model performed and what will happen to water resources including the performance of the aquifer and Lake Okechobee.
This model was created using STELLA, which is a great systems analysis tool. You can create relationships between all of the variables and using algorithms, create feedback loops between variables where if one is changed it will subsequently have an effect on many other variables. In this model the variables are highly connected, making the system very dynamic.

Model Relationships- this image is meant to just give an idea of the complexity of the relationships between the different drivers but I still want to protect the proprietary nature of what they have developed.
Lots of feedback was given throughout the workshop and some of the shared concerns were that the agricultural section needs improvement, sea level rise should be considered, CERP should be included, and that the wording on many variables, including appliances and xeriscaping needed to be changed. While there are many things that are not included, the model is still a valuable policy tool and shows what can be developed with room for more complexity. It’s important to recognize that this is not a forecasting tool but is meant to help make informed evaluations of options not specific results.
One interesting part of the model is that they have a climate change variable that implements various different established General Circulation Models (GMC). They are using the recognized GMCs from the IPCC Fourth Assessment. I was fascinated that these models could be quantitatively inputed to be just another factor considering the range of GCM models and that they were drawing from different climate research centers around the world. Here is a list of the GMCs that they have incorporated into the model:
- Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Univ. of Bergen, Norway
- Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis
- Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, Meteo, France
- Australia’s Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization
- Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, USA
- Institute for Numerical Mathematics, Russia
- Institute for Numerical Mathematics, Russia
- Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, France
- Center for Climate System Research (University of Tokyo), National Institute for Environmental Studies and Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Japan
- Meteorological Institute of the University of Bonn, Germany
- Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany
- Meteorological Research Institute, Japan
- National Center for Atmospheric Research, USA
- Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research, UK
There are other great examples of models that use these GCMs alongside of the three Emission Scenarios: High A2, Medium A1B, Low B1, which relate to different societal response scenarios. An outstanding models that utilizes these is the Nature Conservancy’s Climate Wizard.
As far as next steps go, all of these climate change models make me think that it would be valuable to have game developers develop a model that is more interactive and that can actually be “played” rather than “modeled”. There are plenty of examples of games that do this kind of meta level planning from early versions like SimCity to Black and White, that a climate change game is due on the market. A game for a whole generation of climate change aware kids playing a carbon cap and trade market and stopping sea level rise in Tokyo.
All hypothetical of course.
Why is a comprehension of the reality of climate change not abundant in our society? Because embracing the reality of climate change requires a fundamental behavioral change on a global scale. It would require us all to live differently. Buy differently. Consume differently. Travel differently. Think differently. Act differently.
As a result, people would rather focus on portraying climate change as a theory. A far off, scientifically indecisive, government schemed, nonreality, because it is much less alarming than accepting the truth, that there is an abundance of climatic signs that illustrate that climate change is not only real but happening now. Globally our energies need to be focused simultaneously on preparedness planning as well as significant shifts in our lifestyle and consumption patterns.
The United States has only 5 percent of the world’s population, but accounts for 25 percent of both energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. If you want to know what you contribute to that percentage there are lots of good carbon footprint counters out there. Here’s one I like from the Center for Sustainable Economy. But if calculating your footprint and finding out that if everyone lived like you would require 12.5 earths is not enough of an impetus for you to reconsider things, a good place to start is my post on Climate Change Myth Busting.
This is a good place to plug other areas of my site that are not my blog that I frequently add content to and helpful links. I have recently added two new sections, one for upcoming Events and another for Publications. These are experimental areas so I would appreciate feedback if they are helpful and/or relevant for my readers. One particular publication that I would like to highlight is one about how to better communicate climate change concepts by the Climate Leadership Initiative titled Climate Communications and Behavior Change: A Guide for Practitioners. I found this publication to be extremely helpful, giving good tips on how to frame the climate change discussion, while identifying some of the existing challenges. Here’s a blurb:
General concern about global warming is not enough. For people, organizations or society as a whole to take meaningful action, they must feel sufficient “tension” (dissonance) between some deeply held goals or values and their current condition. For example, people must be sufficiently worried that global warming threatens their jobs, families, communities, or other things they deeply care about. Taking personal action or supporting policies to address the issue becomes consistent with their values and helps to resolve the tension…
While essential, tension alone is insufficient to motivate people to alter their thinking or behavior around global warming and in fact can actually produce the opposite effect of denial and disinterest. The second key to change is that people must believe that they personally, and society at large, have the know-how, skills and tools to address the problem and reduce the tension…To motivate people to engage in activities that can reduce global warming, climate leaders must build people’s sense of efficacy. Building efficacy involves communicating real-world examples of actions and policies that are successfully reducing carbon emissions. Climate leaders must also show how individuals can make a difference and that taking action will help people live according to their values.
Visual aids can also be helpful for communicating these concepts. Seeing exactly what your community would look like with 3 feet of sea level rise can help someone concretely grasp it and catalyst behavioral changes. Peter Harlem, from the Southeast Environmental Research Center at Florida International University has created a very useful series of maps using LIDAR of what Miami-Dade County and Key Biscayne will look like with varying amounts of sea level rise. I’ve highlighted two maps showing both places at 5 feet, which is the projection for the turn of the century. You can see the full set of maps ranging from 0-10 feet at the above links, under my section on ‘Climate Change’.
Climate Change – How Will We Sustain?
Event Type: Workshop
When: May 6th, 2010 – 8:00 – 10:00 am
Where: Marriott North, 6650 N. Andrews Ave., Fort Lauderdale, FL
Imagine a house in South Florida that sleeps a family of five and their average monthly utility bill is around $35 year round and only $110 during the hot summer months. Well that house belongs to Albert Harum-Alvarez and his family and it is one of the greenest homes in South Florida, with energy bills around 75% less than comparable houses.
Albert, a software designer and consultant and former school teacher running for the District 8 County Commissioner Chair in Miami-Dade County had a vision to build a completely green and sustainable home that would accomplish the following things:
- To be planted rather than built. They wanted the house to interact with all of the elements surrounding it more like a plant, including the water, sun, and contours of the actual property. They have carried out with this philosophy in the way that they have chosen to landscape their yard, by having a freedom lawn of a sort. They’ve allowed 7 different grass species to grow and compete against each other so they they can establish a niche suited to different areas of the lawn.
- To be beautifully built according to great design principles, implementing design decisions catered specifically towards energy efficiency in South Florida, which is a very unique climate that doesn’t exist elsewhere in the US where many other green building standards have been developed. For that reason they decided to follow the Florida Green Building checklist, as it is more suited to energy optimizations in the region rather than LEED certification. In other words, they went beyond LEED to green their house but in turn had to go through a 7 year permitting process, even though the home only took a year and a half to build. Having such a tremendous permitting process to go through with the county illustrates the difficulty in building something like this that is out of the norm and needs to be more supported and embraced in order for other less tenacious homeowners to be able to plant their own homes as well.
- To integrate the outside with the inside. The house features 42 impact proof windows, many of which are elongated to not only be more designed to match the human form of being taller and narrower than the average window but to also allow for a good crossbreeze. The hot air and cold air because of their densities can circulate through the top and bottom of the window, allowing for the home to not have to use their air conditioning unit most days of the year. Also there is a solar chimney through the center of the house that lifts the hot muggy air out of the house, which is a feature you will commonly find down here. Outside there are a couple of impressive trees, one being a Ficus and the other being an Oak. The house is constructed on an axis to have the oak in line with the middle of the house to provide a suggestive roof and walls, creating what they call the largest room in the house: their front yard. The alignment of the house also maximizes the sunlight making it naturally very well lit inside and aligned to capture solar rays for potential passive solar panels on the roof.

A Ficus tree in the back yard, which faces the westerly oriented side of the house and was built to still shade that side if the Ficus would ever be uprooted. Ficuses of this size routinely fall over during hurricanes here because they have a very shallow root system and are not native to the region but were imported from India a couple hundred years ago.
- To be a model, whereby it would be a teaching tool to show that building a home this way is not only very smart but also cost saving and attractive. By holding open tours for the community to come to, prospective homeowners, developers, city officials and people just like me can come and experience what is it like inside, walking on bamboo floors, flushing their ultra low-flow toilets and asking all sorts of questions about best practices, techniques, and choices made, which were all responded to very knowledgeably by Albert and his wife Enid.
I enjoyed Albert’s explanation of the difference of Gizmo Green verus Original Green. His home successfully implements a lot of original green strategies, that merely require an acute observation of the natural elements of the property that a homeowner can use as assets. For example the house is both heated and cooled by circulating the ground water, which is always a constant 73 degrees. Using a well, the water is pumped up using a VSP, a Variable Speed Pump, which has different settings in order to cut down on the large amount of energy needed to begin pumping. Additionally since the kitchen and bathroom are two rooms that naturally get more hot because of the activities we do in those two rooms like cooking and taking a shower, they have higher ceilings to allow that hot air to escape and keep those rooms cooler.

Copper colored coof roof paint works similar to white but is more attractive and shows dirt less obviously.
There are a couple Gizmo Green ideas and products they have used as well like Cool Roof Paint, which has high solar reflectance keeping both the house and our planet a little cooler. Also Mangum Opus toilets were installed, which are gravity discharge toilets, using only about a quart of water each time to flush. The most important aspect of implementing a gizmo green strategy or building technique is that it should be an improvement of how it was done before. For example they used a unique form for building their concrete walls, giving them thick walls with a large amount of thermal mass and good insulation. One cool aspect of these forms is that the furring strip is already built into it, so drywall goes up especially easily. What people working on the house noted about using these forms was not only did they go together efficiently, they also produced a very straight wall, which is very desirous. Additionally they reused some of the exposed forms to build one of the interior walls of the house, giving it an elegant but rawer industrial aesthetic.
One thing that stands out when you walk through the house it just how thick the walls are. This is the case because tropical storms and hurricanes are a big concern down here so structures have to be built to withstand them. The thick walls, while costing more to build, saved them in the long run because they save money on their windstorm insurance. Also they save money on their energy bill because the walls help keep the house at a fairly consistent temperature, since they have such a large amount of thermal mass. In addition to pouring thick exterior walls, many of the interior walls have been packed with the excess gypsum that was used to drywall the house. Instead of throwing scraps in a dumpster as would be customary on many construction sites, the odds and end pieces were saved and sorted along with most of the other construction debris from the project and found new uses.
Check out photos from the open house tour:
GRAND Flash Album Gallery
Skins for GRAND FlAGallery, Photo Galleries, Video Galleries
developed by CodEasily.com - WordPress Flash Templates, WordPress Themes and WordPress plugins
The Flash Player and a browser with Javascript support are needed.To find out more about some of the features mentioned here in this post and much more about the house you can watch a video about growing houses in Kendall, read an article in the Miami Herald or contact Albert by linking to one of his following pages.
Watch a Movie about ‘Growing Houses in Kendall’
Kendall House is a Model of Efficiency- Miami Herald
I dropped by Florida International University (FIU) the other day to speak with Dr. Keqi Zhang about some questions I had about how sea level rise will affect South Florida since I’ve been becoming more interested in this topic since I joined the Miami-Dade Climate Change Action Task Force.
Dr. Zhang is the Co-Director of the Laboratory for Coastal Research at the International Hurricane Research Center, which is actually at FIU. Interestingly enough there are two Hurricane Research Centers on campus, one run by NOAA and the other by the University.
Dr. Zhang’s current research involves developing classification algorithms for determining surface topography and roughness from airborne LIDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) data, which is the same technology we were using to conduct the Marindin Project. He is also developing a high-resolution numerical model for the overland flow of storm surges by incorporating surface topography and features from LIDAR measurements, and building 3D animation system for hurricane impact. He also conducts research on coastal changes in response to climate change, sea level rise, and human activity using GIS.

A storm surge is an abnormal rise in sea level accompanying a hurricane or other intense storm, and whose height is the difference between the observed level of the sea surface and the level that would have occurred in the absence of the cyclone. SOURCE
In other words Dr. Zhang is trying to produce that which everyone wants right now, an accurate model that will show exactly how sea level rise and storm surges will impact Miami-Dade. And for that matter once this region is mapped, the methods and algorithms used could be extrapolated to other coastlines. I asked Dr. Zhang how it was going and with a smile he replied that his team was making great progress but there are so many variables to consider that it makes it difficult to accurately predict past 1/2 a meter.
So why is it so difficult to make an accurate model?
For one thing South Florida has an interesting topography, where much of the land to the West of Miami has a very low elevation. In fact it’s swamp land, which is what made the Everglades what they are and only after manipulating the water flows by creating a series of channels and canals did the area stop flooding in the way that it had for centuries. As there has been more awareness about the benefits of allowing more of that freshwater to flow in for the ecosystem there has been an effort as of late to increase the volume into the Miami-Dade area by groups like the Biscayne Bay Aquatic Preserve and the South Florida Water Management District, who will actually be kicking off the opening of a Flow-Way at the Deering Estate next month. You can read more here:
Flow-way to Help Restore Biscayne Bay, Coastal Wetlands
So because of the elevation of the region when sea levels rise, water will inundate from the West and the East, which will create a new baseline of where the water will be but one of the biggest concerns is storm surges. What we do know about climate change and tropical storms/hurricanes is that as global temperatures increase there will be less overall rainfall, which will amount to less overall hurricanes but because of the warming of the oceans, we will have a greater number of high intensity class 4 and 5 hurricanes. These changes make the problem of storm surges even more alarming because while sea level rise may happen slowly and incrementally, storm surges have a much more dramatic impact, and they are especially good at washing away barrier islands.
So all of these things have to be included in creating a predictive model and much more. While climate change predictive models are a cutting edge thing to be working on right now, most are not available for the public to be able to interface with where the user can adjust different layers and variables to see how their community will be affected. In particular this will be an excellent tool for communicating the seriousness of climate change since it is very effective to be able to see how your particular home or block will experience rising sea levels.
Long Island Coastal Modeling Tool
The Nature Conservancy has partnered with NOAA and NASA to create the Coastal Resilience Project to provide communities with easy access to information to assist in coastal planning and management decisions regarding resources at risk from sea level rise and coastal hazards.

The Coastal Resilience project aims to provide planners and other decision-makers with the tools they need to understand reasonable future impacts of flooding from sea level rise and storms and to plan and adapt accordingly.
This information is accessible through an interactive decision support tool. With the Future Scenarios Mapper, users can characterize current conditions and visualize the ecological, social and economic impacts of reasonable future flooding scenarios. Proactive solutions and adaptations can reduce impacts to human and natural communities. Appropriate planning for adaptation requires data-driven decision support, and the Coastal Resilience project provides a suite of interactive analysis options to support decision-makers.
Launch the Web Mapping Tool
So let’s take a go with this tool:
I modeled a medium amount of sea level rise in the 2020′s to see what would happen to my friend’s home in Sagaponack on Long Island where I went to their wedding last year. While the wedding itself was beautiful I couldn’t help but think about how this home might not be there in a few decades. Well with this model, I found out that it might be a lot sooner.
The economic loss for Long Island with this modeling scenario is estimated to be around 87,138 dollars (in thousands). The image that you see here illustrates that loss by equating:
the estimated building damage (replacement cost) by census block based on different storm and sea level rise conditions. The modeled storm surge and sea level rise flood depths were used as input to FEMA’s HAZUS-MH Flood Model to arrive at estimated building damages. All scenarios assume estimated current (2006 $) replacement cost or building values for all building occupancy types (e.g. residential, commercial, industrial, government, etc.).
What I like so much about this model is that is really drives the economic argument home emphasizing the cost of sea level rise and while they don’t overtly say it, the cost of inaction as these scenarios are based on a business as usual approach. Sea level rise preparedness just makes good economic sense as Greg Craven’s popular YouTube video illustrates.
But more on the economics of climate change later. I’m off to go compete in my first sailing regatta…
“Climate Change: The Role of Mitigation in Sustainable Adaptation”
Event Type: Webinar
When: Tuesday, April 27th from Noon until 1:00 pm EST
As our climate changes, so too does the magnitude and frequency of associated impacts. These issues raise important questions about the level to which communities control their contribution to greenhouse gas emissions as they begin preparing for the impacts of climate change.
Join the Southern Alliance for Clean Energy (SACE) and ICLEI: Local Governments for Sustainability for their webinar focused on all issues surrounding coastal climate adaptation in the Southeast U.S.
During this webinar, Ulla Reeves, Regional Program Director with Southern Alliance for Clean Energy and Missy Stults, Adaptation Manager with ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability, will discuss what sustainable adaptation means, the challenging issues surrounding it, and present arguments for why mitigation is a key component of sustainable adaptation and a strategic direction for cities and communities.
Click here for all the details and to register.
It was a brilliant day out yesterday on Biscayne Bay and I enjoyed it by going out windsurfing all morning with some friends. Biscayne Bay is an ideal place to do things like windsurfing, sailing, paddleboarding or really any kind of aquatic activities because it is such a shallow protected bay. At its deepest point it’s only 14 feet deep, which is why there are numerous channel traversing the bay that have had to be carved out for boats to be able to navigate around.
The bay is also an ideal place to be out on because you can see a plethora of marine life up close. I had a close encounter with a Spotted Eagle Ray as I jumped off my board to do a beach start. I was delighted to be able to identify what kind of Ray it was after having attended on Thursday, ‘Sharks and Rays of Biscayne Bay’. The presentation was by Jennifer Baez of the Dept. of Environmental Protection’s Biscayne Bay Aquatic Preserve as part of Baynanza 2010. The presentation was at the Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.
She highlighted many of the common Shark and Ray species that frequent the bay, sharing some interesting facts:
- Sharks and Rays are cartilaginous, meaning they are made of cartilage rather than having a bony skeleton, which is why they can grow to such immense sizes. Some species if you were to take them out of the water and put them on shore, would collapse on their organs because they could not support themselves under their own weight.
- Sharks don’t have a swim bladder, which is a gaseous chamber that many fish use to osmoregulate themselves when they go from one depth to another. Instead Sharks have a large oily liver that makes up about 10% of their body mass, and they use the liver to allow themselves to go between different depths rapidly.
- Instead of skin sharks have placoid scales, which are like overlapping pieces of armor. That’s why when you touch shark skin from nose to tail it’s very smooth but going the other direction it feels like sandpaper. In fact sharkskin was used as an early sandpaper. These placoid scales allow for minimal displacement of water and sound as they glide through the water, allowing them to stealthily sneak up on prey. Companies like Speedo have begun using placoid scale technology and first launched their new swim suits at the Salt Lake City Olympics. Athletes wearing these suits were on average 4% more efficient.
- Sharks have open cells around their nose and mouth that are able to sense electromagnetic fields and temperature gradients, which is how they can find a ray buried under the sand for a snack even when there is little or no light to see with. One common misconception is that sharks have poor visibility but in fact they have excellent eyesight. A juvenile Lemon Shark has 7x better vision than humans even.
- While sharks and rays are cousin species, one thing that sets rays apart from sharks is that their pectoral fins are fused to their heads. There are two general classifications for rays based on where they can be found: benthic and pelagic. Benthic rays tend to be found closer to the ocean floor and are more disc shaped. They like to bury in the bottom and are bottom feeders. Pelagic rays are more bat shaped and are more active rays, swimming around more, which is why they are more commonly seen by people.
Some common ray and shark species found is Biscayne Bay include but are not limited to:
Spotted Eagle Rays, Southern Stingrays, Butterfly Rays, and Yellow Stingrays.
Yellow Stingrays have a cool adaption that makes them a successful predator. Even though they are small they have the ability to curl the front of their bodies up to create a cave for unsuspecting critters and crustaceans to crawl into. Once they seek shelter, the ray can rapidly flatten its bodies, catching its prey.
Nurse Sharks, Lemon Sharks, Hammerhead Sharks including the Bonnethead Shark, Black Tip Sharks, Tiger Sharks and Bull Sharks.
Nurse Sharks are particularly abundant in the bay because they like mangrove habitats, sand flats, channels and reefs. It has been thought that sharks need to continuously keep moving in order to breath, but Nurse Sharks have been observed to live sedintary and pump water over their gills or position themselves in places where water is flowing to get oxygen. One special adaption that Nurse Sharks have are two barbells, which are thin, fleshy, whisker-like organs on the lower jaw in front of the nostrils that sense touch and taste.
We caught a juvenile Nurse Shark in the Bay to check it out, and of course released it.

Juvenile Nurse Shark caught over by a mangrove island on the South side of Key Biscanye. You can see the little barbells hanging from his mouth.
Despite all the negative imagining of sharks in the media and popular culture, they are actually essential to keeping balance within their ecosystem. As climate change threatens to change everything from loss of habitat through sea level rise to rising ocean temperatures, there will be rippling effects like a potential disruption in shark and ray populations, which will subsequently have an impact down the food chain with an explosion in mesopredator populations. Currently there is a balance because:
Sharks and rays remove sick and weaker organisms → Prey populations are kept in check → Equilibrium exists in the food chain since species are kept within their carrying capacity
If we loose the equilibrium balancing these apex predators because of climate change, there is a chain reaction. For example:
Too many sharks → Sharks eating too many Grouper → Grouper eating too many Parrotfish → Not enough Parrotfish to eat the algae that covers the coral reefs → Algae proliferates and shades out the coral reef → Reef cannot be productive without sunlight and is bleached
“This issue is very complex, and a lot of the consequences are not known,” said William Ripple, a professor of forest ecosystems and society at Oregon State University. “But there’s evidence that the explosion of mesopredator populations is very severe and has both ecological and economic repercussions.”
Our ecosystem is so multi-faceted that is nearly impossible for us to accurately predict all of the changes that could happen because of climate change. If global temperatures rise just a few degrees or sea levels rise a mere couple of inches the impact will be astounding since we can see through examples like the sharks and rays what happens is there is even a slight disruption.
To read more about what happens when we loose apex predators, there is a good article at Science Daily.
Loss Of Top Predators Causing Surge In Smaller Predators, Ecosystem Collapse
ScienceDaily (Oct. 4, 2009) — The catastrophic decline around the world of “apex” predators such as wolves, cougars, lions or sharks has led to a huge increase in smaller “mesopredators” that are causing major economic and ecological disruptions, a new study concludes.























